The Resolve Political Monitor, published by Nine Media on Thursday, pegs Victorian Labor’s primary vote at 39 per cent, down from 41 per cent previously. This compares to 28 per cent for the coalition, up from 26 per cent in June.

But in Queensland the same poll, published by the Brisbane Times website, reveals the embattled Queensland Premier losing her poll lead to the LNP Opposition.

In the preferred Premier stakes, LNP leader David Crisafulli has opened up a lead in both voting intentions and Palaszczuk’s personal popularity.

The LNP’s primary vote rose five points to 38 per cent, surpassing Labor for the first time, while Labor slipped three points to 32 per cent in the survey, which covers the four months from mid-May.

Crisafulli is preferred premier for the first time in the poll but only just, with 37 per cent choosing the LNP leader, compared with Ms Palaszczuk’s 36 per cent.

The results are a significant drop from the pandemic-era highs in the premier and her government’s popularity, when Labor recorded a primary vote of 40 per cent at the 2020 election, compared with the LNP’s 36 per cent.

The poll of 947 Queensland voters covers the delivery of the state budget, which posted a record surplus and a bonanza of cost-of-living relief.

It also included a cabinet reshuffle as the premier admitted Labor had to do better in the face of voter concerns about housing, health and youth crime.

The result echoes an Australian Financial Review survey that showed the government on track to lose the October 2024 state election.

The Freshwater Strategy Poll in early July showed Labor’s primary vote falling and a higher unfavourable view of Ms Palaszczuk behind Mr Crisafulli as preferred premier.

Ms Palaszczuk dismissed the earlier survey, saying: “I’m not going to listen to a poll that’s mainly made up of LNP operatives.”

A YouGov poll in April also pointed to a dip in the premier’s popularity.

In Victoria, on a preferred leader basis, the poll shows support for Mr Andrews dropped to 44 per cent from 49 per cent. Opposition Leader John Pesutto’s support rose to 29 per cent from 26 per cent.

The long-serving Labor leader’s personal likeability – which is positive views minus negative views – fell from one to minus seven, while Mr Pesutto’s rose from minus 13 to minus nine.

It marks the first time Mr Andrews has dropped into net negative territory on that metric, a fact that didn’t concern him.

“We have one poll every four years that matters and that’s the only one I need to comment on,” he told reporters.

In the past month, the Andrews government has cancelled the 2026 Commonwealth Games citing cost concerns, responded to another corruption watchdog report and dealt with the resignation of Labor MP Will Fowles over an alleged sexual assault which he denies.

Mr Andrews, who has repeatedly vowed to serve an entire four years as premier until the next state election in 2026, shrugged off the suggestion it had been a tough few weeks for his government.

“When I think about tough days and tough weeks, I think about people who can’t find a house, I think about people who can’t find a bulk-billing doctor,” the premier said.

While still lagging Labor’s primary vote by 11 points, Mr Pesutto said the tide was turning against the government after May’s state budget and the Commonwealth Games decision.

“This government has no shortage of scandals but the Commonwealth Games cancellation shocked Victorians,” he said.

“People are also shocked that for all of that humiliation that comes from the Commonwealth Games, we’re going to have to pay for it.”

The Resolve poll found 39 per cent of voters oppose or strongly oppose the state government’s decision to dump the Games, compared to 35 per cent in favour.

At the same time, 44 per cent oppose or strongly oppose Labor’s decision to ban gas connections for new homes, against 30 per cent in favour and 26 per cent undecided.

Resolve surveyed 1047 voters in July and August, with the margin of error for results plus or minus three per cent.