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Danger signs: Qld voters deliver poll blow to Morrison


The Federal Government would be in danger of losing five of their marginal seats in Queensland at the upcoming election, according to the results of a new opinion poll.

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The latest Roy Morgan Poll on Federal voting intentions, conducted during the first two weeks of January, puts ALP support at 56 per cent and LNP on 44 per cent on a two-party preferred basis – a slight change from the previous December polling.

Always the battleground State, the latest poll results indicate a swing of 6.9 per cent to the ALP in Queensland.

According to Roy Morgan, this would be enough for the LNP to lose their five key marginal seats in Queensland – Longman, Leichhardt, Dickson, Brisbane and Ryan.

At the 2019 Federal election, Queensland delivered a lions share of support to the LNP, where the Coalition won 23 out of the 30 seats and garnered 58.4 per cent of the two-party preferred vote.

According to the poll, the ALP holds strong two-party preferred leads in New South Wales, Victoria, South Australia and Tasmania. In Western Australia, the ALP is on 51 per cent, narrowly ahead of the LNP’s 40 per cent.

The poll of 2791 Australian voters, was conducted during the first two weeks of January as the Omicron wave of the Covid-19 virus took hold, causing supply chain problems, empty supermarket shelves and desperate queues to buy scarce rapid antigen tests.

Dr Glenn Kefford, from the University of Queensland’s School of Political Science and International Studies, said that the results, statistically, were not much different to the previous poll in December.

Both were taken during the Christmas and New Year holiday period when a lot of voters tune out.

Dr Kefford said a backlash against the Government as a result of the handling of the Covid-19 crisis had already occurred and was being factored into the latest results.

And it would continue to be significant factor affecting voter perceptions of the Government.

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